weekof061410

Quote of the week. “Your assumptions are your windows on the world. Scrub them off every once in awhile, or the light won’t come in.” – Alan Alda

Retail sales down 1.2% in May. What happened? Perhaps consumers took a break after spending notably in March and April. Auto sales slipped 1.7%; hardware store sales fell 9.3%, possibly influenced by the expiration of homebuyer tax credits.¹

Consumer sentiment rises. Consumers may have bought less recently, but according to the University of Michigan/Reuters consumer sentiment poll, their confidence has increased. June’s preliminary reading was 75.5 – a rise from the final 73.6 May mark. The barometer of current economic conditions reached 82.9; it hasn’t been this high since March 2008.²

Wholesale, business inventories increase. The Commerce Department reported 0.4% gains in both categories for April. Business inventories hit their highest level since last June; wholesale inventories were up for a fourth consecutive month.^2,3

Gold touches $1,250 level. The precious metal hit a new intraday peak last week ($1,254.50) and settled at $1,230.20 per ounce Friday. Gold gained 1.03% last week, and other metals did better: silver futures rose 5.39% and palladium futures were up 4.07%. Copper also advanced 3.00% for the week.⁴

S&P 500 gains 2.51%. Welcome news: from Monday to Friday, the index had its best week since early March. The NASDAQ gained 1.10% and the DJIA gained 2.81% last week, with the Dow settling at 10,211.07.⁵

*% Change*	Y-T-D	1-Yr Chg	5-Yr Avg	10-Yr Avg
DJIA	-2.08	+16.42	-0.57	-0.33
NASDAQ	-1.13	+20.47	+1.75	-4.05
S&P 500	-2.11	+15.53	-1.78	-2.45
*Real Yield*	6/11	1 Yr Ago	5 Yrs Ago	10 Yrs Ago
10YrTIPS	1.29%	1.89%	1.74%	4.34%

(Source: CNBC.com, BigCharts.com, ustreas.gov, bls.gov, 6/11/10)^5,6,7,8

Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be

invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends.

Riddle of the week. Four cars approach an intersection with four-way stop signs simultaneously, each car coming from a different direction. After stopping, the drivers all accelerate at the same time. However, there is no accident. How is this possible?

Contact my office or see next week’s Update for the answer.

Last week’s riddle: Many people assume that a particular four-word phrase appears on every type of U.S. coin – but they are wrong. What four words do appear on every U.S. coin?

Last week’s riddle answer: United States of America.

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«Disclosure»

This material was prepared by Peter Montoya Inc, and does not necessarily represent the views of Gary Hokin or Nikoh Securities Corporation/Hokin Investment Advisors. This information should not be construed as investment advice. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx^®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world's largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. Market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If other expert assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. Please consult Gary Hokin at (847) 897-8111 for further information. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. www.montoyaregistry.com www.petermontoya.com

Citations.

1 -cbsnews.com/stories/2010/06/11/business/main6571608.shtml [6/11/10]

2 - cnbc.com/id/37636961/ [6/1/10]

3 - businessweek.com/news/2010-06-09/wholesale-inventories-in-u-s-rose-0-4-in-april-update1-.html [6/9/10]

4 - cnbc.com/id/37648767/page/2/ [6/11/10]

5 - cnbc.com/id/37648767 [6/11/10]

6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=DJIA&close_date=6%2F11%2F09&x=0&y=0 [6/11/10]

6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=COMP&close_date=6%2F11%2F09&x=0&y=0 [6/11/10]

6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=SPX&close_date=6%2F11%2F09&x=0&y=0 [6/11/10]

6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=DJIA&close_date=6%2F10%2F05&x=0&y=0 [6/11/10]

6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=COMP&close_date=6%2F10%2F05&x=0&y=0 [6/11/10]

6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=SPX&close_date=6%2F10%2F05&x=0&y=0 [6/11/10]

6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=DJIA&close_date=6%2F12%2F00&x=0&y=0 [6/11/10]

6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=COMP&close_date=6%2F12%2F00&x=0&y=0 [6/11/10]

6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=SPX&close_date=6%2F12%2F00&x=0&y=0 [6/11/10]

7 - ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/real_yield.shtml [6/11/10]

7 - ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/real_yield_historical.shtml [6/11/10]

8 - treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2000/ofm11200.pdf [1/12/00]